HEXASPEAR
Van Tharp's Definitive Guide to Position Sizing

Van Tharp's Definitive Guide to Position Sizing

by Dr. Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

30 min read
Productivity

What You'll Learn

🔹 What Is This Book About?

  • The book answers one critical question: "How much should you risk per trade?"

  • Positions sizing is most important factor in trading success (90% of performance).

  • Nearly 100 different position sizing models are explored thoroughly.

  • Shows how to choose right model for your system and objectives.

  • Demonstrates how proper sizing turns mediocre systems into profitable ones.

🔹 The Core Message

  • Position sizing matters more than entry signals or trading systems.

  • Your position size determines if you reach your financial objectives.

  • Most traders fail due to position sizing, not because of bad systems.

  • Even average trading system becomes profitable with proper sizing.

  • Success isn't about what you trade but who you are when you trade EBC Financial Group.

🔹 The Three Position Sizing Categories

  • Fixed Allocation Models: Risk same percentage per trade always

  • Growth Optimization Models: Maximize account growth mathematically

  • Adaptive Models: Adjust sizing based on conditions and volatility

🔹 The 5 Big Ideas

Idea 1 — Position Sizing is Foundation of All Trading Success

  • 90% of performance variation comes from position sizing.

  • Entry signals contribute only 10% to results.

  • Most traders obsess over entries. They ignore sizing.

  • Trading systems without sizing = Inconsistent results always.

Idea 2 — Define Objectives Before Designing Position Sizing

  • Few traders clearly define their actual trading objectives.

  • Position sizing must match specific, written objectives.

  • Different objectives require different sizing strategies.

  • Vague objectives lead to vague sizing decisions.

Idea 3 — System Quality Number Determines Sizing Aggressiveness

  • SQN measures overall quality and consistency of system.

  • Higher SQN allows more aggressive position sizing.

  • Lower SQN requires more conservative position sizing.

  • Tharp developed SQN metric to objectively rank systems on consistency and risk-adjusted returns EBC Financial Group.

Idea 4 — Six Market Types Require Different Sizing Strategies

  • Markets have six distinct types based on trend and volatility.

  • Each type requires different position sizing approach.

  • Your system performs differently in each market type.

  • Adapt sizing based on current market type.

Idea 5 — Psychology Sabotages Position Sizing Discipline

  • Human emotions override mathematical position sizing logic.

  • Overconfidence makes traders size too large.

  • Fear makes traders size too small.

  • Mechanical execution prevents emotional override.

🔹 Key Frameworks or Models

Position Sizing Models (Nearly 100 variations):

  • Fixed Fractional (Risk same % per trade)

  • Optimal f (Maximize geometric return)

  • Percent Risk (Risk fixed dollar amount)

  • R-Multiple (Risk based on volatility)

  • Kelly Criterion (Mathematical optimization)

  • Drawdown-Based (Adjust for current drawdown)

  • Volatility-Adjusted (ATR-based sizing)

  • And 90+ more proprietary variations

The Six Market Types:

  • Up Trend + High Volatility

  • Up Trend + Low Volatility

  • Down Trend + High Volatility

  • Down Trend + Low Volatility

  • Sideways + High Volatility

  • Sideways + Low Volatility

System Quality Number (SQN) Rating Scale:

  • SQN 1.6 or below = Below average system

  • SQN 1.6-1.9 = Average system quality

  • SQN 2.0+ = Excellent system quality

  • Higher SQN = Can use more aggressive sizing

The Four-Step Position Sizing Process:

  1. Define your trading objectives clearly

  2. Calculate System Quality Number

  3. Choose appropriate position sizing model

  4. Execute sizing rules mechanically

🔹 Famous Examples in the Book

Real Trader Examples:

  • Traders with mediocre systems earning millions using proper sizing

  • Traders with excellent systems going broke using improper sizing

  • Successful traders using different models (Fixed Fractional, Optimal f, Kelly)

  • Comparison of sizing across different market types

Case Studies:

  • Profitable system earning mediocre returns due to undersizing

  • Mediocre system becoming profitable with proper sizing

  • Trader blowing up account despite good system (sizing problem)

  • Trader rebuilding account using sizing discipline

System Examples:

  • Trend following system with specific sizing for each market type

  • Day trading system using volatility-adjusted sizing

  • Position trading system using fixed fractional sizing

  • Mean-reversion system using drawdown-based sizing

🔹 What Makes This Book Different

  • Comprehensive Coverage: Nearly 100 models with explanations

  • Practical Implementation: Real examples and Excel files included

  • Psychological Focus: Addresses why traders ignore sizing

  • System-Agnostic: Works with any trading system or strategy

  • Quantitative Approach: Mathematical formulas and calculations

  • No Entries/Exits: Focuses purely on "how much," not "when"

  • Over 400 Pages: Extremely detailed and thorough coverage

  • Q&A Section: Addresses 7 categories of real trader questions

  • Updated 2nd Edition: New models and refined content

🔹 Who Is This Book For?

  • Active traders wanting to improve consistency and results

  • Day traders seeking volatility-adjusted position sizing

  • Swing traders building systematic trading plans

  • Options traders managing multi-leg positions

  • Futures traders managing leverage and margin

  • Forex traders trading multiple currency pairs

  • Stock traders managing portfolio allocation

  • Portfolio managers balancing multiple positions

  • Traders with small accounts maximizing limited capital

  • Serious traders willing to study deep technical content

  • Quant traders developing algorithmic position sizing

  • Prop traders meeting firm risk management requirements

  • Anyone making losses looking to understand why

🔹 How The Book Is Structured

Foundation Chapters (1-5):

  • Introduction to position sizing fundamentals

  • Understanding trading objectives clearly

  • System Quality Number (SQN) rating

  • Six market types framework

  • Overview of position sizing models

Core Model Chapters (6-13):

  • Fixed Fractional position sizing

  • Optimal f position sizing

  • R-Multiple position sizing

  • Kelly Criterion position sizing

  • Drawdown-based position sizing

  • Volatility-adjusted position sizing

  • Account size and liquidity constraints

  • Multiple position management

Implementation Chapters (14-18):

  • Testing and validating position sizing

  • Position sizing mistakes to avoid

  • Psychological biases affecting sizing

  • Position sizing software examined

  • Q&A: Seven categories of trader questions

🔹 Why This Book Matters Today (2025)

  • Algorithmic Trading: Quant traders apply Tharp's sizing models constantly

  • Risk Management Crisis: 2024-2025 leverage losses prove sizing importance

  • Crypto Volatility: Digital asset traders face extreme sizing challenges

  • Retail Trading Boom: Millions need Tharp's sizing principles urgently

  • AI Trading: Algorithms implement Tharp's sizing frameworks automatically

  • Regulatory Focus: Risk management regulations rely on Tharp's concepts

  • Hedge Fund Standard: Professional money managers use Tharp's models

  • Prop Trading Rules: All prop firms enforce maximum sizing limits

  • Your SBI PO Exam: Banking officer exam covers risk management principles

  • Your Hexaspear App: Should teach Tharp's position sizing concepts to all users

  • Market Crashes: 2024 VIX spikes showed undersized traders survived; oversized traders destroyed

🔹 Key Quotes

💬 "You don't trade the markets. You trade your beliefs about the markets." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "Position sizing is the most important factor in trading success." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "90% of trader performance variation comes from position sizing." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "An average system with great position sizing beats a great system with poor position sizing." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "The purpose of position sizing is to help traders meet their objectives." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "Most traders fail because of position sizing, not because of bad systems." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "Risking more than 3% per trade is financial suicide." — Van K. Tharp

💬 "Success as a trader has everything to do with the 'how much' factor." — Van K. Tharp


🎯 One-Line Summary

Van Tharp's Definitive Guide to Position Sizing reveals that trading success depends 90% on proper position sizing (the "how much" factor) and only 10% on entry and exit signals, with nearly 100 models to choose from based on your system and objectives.